Houston Texans Playoff Picture: Tracking the Texans Playoff Odds

Cody Kutzer Profile Picture
Fact Checked by Jeremy Botter
Can CJ Stroud make an impact on the Texans playoff chances

The Texans were one of the most surprising teams throughout the 2024 regular season, and their performance carried them to the playoffs. Can Houston return to the playoffs in the 2025-26 season? Before we kick off the season, the Texans have a 57.5% chance of making the playoffs. Expectations are high for the Texans, with a projected win total of 9.5 games. 

I'll be tracking and updating the Texans' playoff odds throughout the season, so bookmark this page and check back to keep up with the latest info.

Must be 18+ to participate in TX. T&Cs apply.

What are the Latest Texans Playoff Chances?

The Texans have a strong chance of making it to the playoffs and have the best odds to win the AFC South.

πŸ‘ Playoff Chances:57.5% (-135)
πŸ‘Ž Miss Playoffs:46.5% (+115)
⭐ Win AFC South:11.1% (+115)
πŸ”₯ Win AFC:5.3% (+1800)
πŸ† Win Super Bowl LX2.4% (+4000)
🏈 Texans' Regular Season Win TotalO/U 9.5 (+100/-120)
βœ… Odds Last Verified:May 29, 2025

The above percentages for the Houston Texans are calculated using implied probability. The implied probability is determined by converting a team's odds into a percentage. For this table, all of the odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook. Houston's chances to win the AFC are the eighth-shortest odds in the conference.

Texans' 2025 Schedule and Betting Odds

The Texans have four primetime games and a Week 6 bye, the second-earliest bye in the NFL this season.

Texans ScheduleLineResult
Week 1 at Los Angeles RamsHOU +3, ML +130TBD
Week 2 vs. Tampa Bay BuccaneersHOU -1.5, ML -120TBD
Week 3 at Jacksonville JaguarsHOU -1.5, ML -122TBD
Week 4 vs. Tennessee TitansHOU -6, ML -245TBD
Week 5 at Baltimore RavensHOU +7.5, ML +260TBD
Week 6 BYE--
Week 7 at Seattle SeahawksHOU +1.5, ML +100TBD
Week 8 vs. San Francisco 49ersHOU +1.5, ML +100TBD
Week 9 vs. Denver BroncosHOU +1.5, ML -105TBD
Week 10 vs.  Jacksonville JaguarsHOU -3.5, ML -175TBD
Week 11 at Tennessee TitansHOU -3, ML -155TBD
Week 12 vs. Buffalo BillsHOU +3.5, ML +145TBD
Week 13 at Indianapolis ColtsHOU -1.5, ML -122TBD
Week 14 at Kansas City ChiefsHOU +6.5, ML +215TBD
Week 15 vs. Arizona CardinalsHOU -2.5, ML -130TBD
Week 16 vs. Las Vegas RaidersHOU -4.5, ML -198TBD
Week 17 at Los Angeles ChargersHOU +3.5, ML +145TBD
Week 18 vs. Indianapolis ColtsHOU -4.5, ML -192TBD

Can the Texans Make the Playoffs?

Yes, the Texans can make the playoffs. Ahead of the 2025 season, Houston has a 57.5% chance of making the playoffs. Houston has made the playoffs the last two seasons.

Are the Texans Out of Playoffs?

No, Houston is not out of the playoffs. The season has not yet started, and we will not know until several weeks into the season who is on the verge of missing the playoffs. The Texans have a 46.5% chance of missing the 2025 playoffs.

Houston Texans Playoff Chances: Key Updates

To keep Texans fans updated on the season, here is the latest news and developments regarding the Houston Texans ahead of the 2025 season:

  • πŸ“† May 13: The Texans sign DT Folorunso Fatukasi.
  • πŸ“† May 7: Houston claims LB Jackson Woodard off waivers from Seattle.
  • πŸ“† April 11: DB Jalen Pitre signs a three-year contract extension with the Texans.
  • πŸ“† April 8: Houston signs OLB E.J. Speed.
  • πŸ“† March 18: The Texans sign RB Jakob Johnson, LB Del'Shawn Phillips, and G Laken Tomlinson.
  • πŸ“† March 17: CB Derek Stingley Jr. signs a three-year contract extension with Houston.
  • πŸ“† March 13: Houston signs CB Ronald Darb, T Trenton Brown, and T Cam Robinson.
  • πŸ“† March 13: Houston trades a 2026 sixth-round pick to Minnesota for G Ed Ingram.
  • πŸ“† March 13: The Texans acquire safety C.J. Gardner-Johnson via trade with the Eagles and Christian Kirk via trade with Jacksonville.
  • πŸ“† March 10: Houston signs Darrell Taylor and re-signs Derek Barnett.
  • πŸ“† March 6: The Texans re-sign DL Kurt Hinish.
  • πŸ“† February 3: Houston hires Nick Caley as offensive coordinator.

We will continue to update this page all season, so be sure to bookmark it and return to see all of the latest updates regarding the Houston Texans.

Key Contributors Toward Texans Playoff Chances

The Texans advanced to the AFC divisional round last season, but their Super Bowl dreams were cut short after losing to the Kansas City Chiefs. After using the offseason to strengthen their defense and reshape their offensive line, hopes are high in Houston. Ahead of the 2025 season, the Texans have a promising chance of returning to the playoffs.

Houston addressed key needs this offseason, adding to its offensive line to strengthen Stroud's protection. QB1 will also have new targets to join Nico Collins and Tank Dell after the Texans added Christian Kirk and Justin Watson. The defense has also seen major upgrades with the additions of Tremon Smith, Darrell Taylor, C.J. Gardner-Johnson, and Jaylin Smith.

Where Can I Bet on the Houston Texans to Make the Playoffs?

You can bet on the Houston Texans to make the playoffs at any legal sportsbook. Options include DraftKings Sportsbook, BetMGM Sportsbook, Caesars Sportsbook, or FanDuel Sportsbook. Bets can also be made on the Texans to miss the playoffs, win the AFC South, and several other futures at other popular sportsbooks. 

It’s important to note that sports betting isn’t yet legalized in Texas. Bettors will need to travel out of state to place a legal sports bet on the Houston Texans' playoff chances during the 2025 season. Sports fans can also use social sportsbook sites like BetRivers.net, which is a legal alternative because there is no real money involved. Here, you can place "bets" with virtual credits. BetRivers.net is a fantastic platform for those who have never placed a bet with a mobile site or app because the setup is the same as you would find with a "real" operator, giving you practice for when Texas sports betting becomes a reality.

Houston Texans Playoff Picture and Predictions

The Houston Texans have advanced to the playoffs in the last two seasons, becoming one of the most surprising NFL teams. Head coach Demeco Ryans and quarterback C.J. Stroud play a big part in the Texans' success. Houston has used the offseason to address key issues, building a solid foundation.

To improve Stroud's protection, the Texans added Cam Robinson, Laken Tomlinson, and Ed Ingram to bolster their offensive line. Houston also added more offensive weapons to join Nico Collins, Tank Dell, and Dalton Schultz by acquiring Christian Kirk and signing Justin Watson. They also drafted WR Jayden Higgins, WR Jaylin Noel, TE Luke Lachey, and RB Woody Marks.

Defensively, the Texans also signed versatile players in free agency to improve and strengthen the defensive line, including CB Tremon Smith and LB Nick Niemann. Houston was able to retain key players such as CB Derek Stinglery Jr. and DT Mario Edwards Jr. They drafted CB Jaylin Smith, S Jaylen Reed, and DT Kyonte Hamilton. Houston is expected to have one of the best defenses in the league.

Houston Texans Playoffs FAQs

Author

Cody Kutzer

Cody Kutzer has been covering the sports betting and gambling space for several years and has been losing his parlay bets for even longer. He currently serves as an editor and fact-checker for BetTexas.com to ensure readers have the latest and most accurate information surrounding what's happening in Texas sports betting.

Cited by leading media organizations, such as: